Electoral Calculus prediction on these numbers: Tory majority of 190.https://twitter.com/michaelsavage/status/854804065779429380 …
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Meanwhile our seat total is... Unchanged
We tend to surge more locally than nationally, so I doubt UNS is accurate. It makes little difference to the overall majority, sadly.
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We do better locally when local campaigns are driver (1997, 2001) and worse when media is driver (2010).
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What about 2005, our best year?
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We more-or-less hit UNS. And my view of campaign was also that it was both (national) media and local campaigning in equal measure.
End of conversation
New conversation -
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