I say this agnostic to whether DNC data operation was truly that bankrupt etc. My hunch is no, and Clinton is throwing them under the bus.
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Replying to @zeynep
I'm also agnostic to no on whether Cambridge Analytica did all that they claim. But that's not the key point. The *direction* is clear.
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Replying to @zeynep
All due respect, but essentially you're saying "the data are wrong but the conclusion is right." Not exactly firm footing.
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Replying to @AndrewJPerrin @zeynep
Andrew Perrin Retweeted Daniel Kreiss
cf the careful thread by
@kreissdaniel here:https://twitter.com/kreissdaniel/status/870281937977577479 …Andrew Perrin added,
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Replying to @AndrewJPerrin @kreissdaniel
Hard to say it on Twitter, so I am expanding. I am more saying the real story isn't in the official data capacity of parties.
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I buy Daniel's point; but mine is related but not on the same thing. I believe the direction is clear even if CA is exaggerated.
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Replying to @zeynep @kreissdaniel
Claim that "money and power talks" is as close to an unmoved mover as you can get. But therefore can't explain variation.
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Replying to @AndrewJPerrin @kreissdaniel
My point is many Obama dems refused that basic point in 2012.
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And it can explain change, why not? See this a lot in history of tech. Changes hands.
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Replying to @zeynep @kreissdaniel
Question is whether data prowess can only mediate money/power=>victory, or can it also moderate. '08 suggests moderation is possible.
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The mechanism isn't stable, though, and the question I'm interested in is its evolution.
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Replying to @zeynep @AndrewJPerrin
Well, empirically I would say that parties still drive this process for all sorts of institutional reasons.
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And, empirically the evidence from this cycle is not at all clear about the role of outside groups in this sort of targeting.
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