5. The 2nd was deportation. 87% of white working-class voters who want to deport undocumented immigrants voted Trump https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/05/white-working-class-trump-cultural-anxiety/525771/ …pic.twitter.com/oYmB4r1cHm
Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org
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5. The 2nd was deportation. 87% of white working-class voters who want to deport undocumented immigrants voted Trump https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/05/white-working-class-trump-cultural-anxiety/525771/ …pic.twitter.com/oYmB4r1cHm
6. Third? Higher education. WWC voters who think of college as a risky gamble, not an investment, went 2x for Trump: https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/05/white-working-class-trump-cultural-anxiety/525771/ …pic.twitter.com/tYz0VHSY0R
7. WWC voters who wanted to protect American way of life, or feel like strangers in their own country? 79% for Trump https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/05/white-working-class-trump-cultural-anxiety/525771/ …pic.twitter.com/WQHWUFP7Fk
8. Only one economic variable was independently predictive, and that only to 90% confidence level: Fair or poor financial condition.
9. We found economically distressed white, working class voters were 75% more likely to vote for Clinton—not Trump.https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/05/white-working-class-trump-cultural-anxiety/525771/ …
10. Bottom line? White, working class Trump voters felt culturally displaced and resentful, not financially stressedhttps://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/05/white-working-class-trump-cultural-anxiety/525771/ …
11. More data, and full analysis, here from the redoubtable @robertpjones and his crew at @PRRIpoll:https://www.prri.org/research/white-working-class-attitudes-economy-trade-immigration-election-donald-trump/ …
I read there regressions and would say you cannot separate two variables in a feedback loop like this. Democrats will be greatly misled.
If you talk to people, you often find that their sense of cultural displacement is tied to their economic analysis of race in this country.
You are on point.We refer to this in economics jargon as the endogeneity or identification problem.
Exactly. It doesn't mean this isn't racism. It's just that this kind if separation is analytically suspect and politically misleading.
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