I don't think blaming readers is the way. Nobody—nobody—properly communicated probability models to people trained in seeing polling data. https://twitter.com/samwangphd/status/856329979440779264 …
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Replying to @zeynep
No, this charge is unwarranted. That his predictions were win probabilities - not poll results - was front and center.pic.twitter.com/uRpkN8cCxe
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Replying to @jrdnmdhl
Absolutely not clear. I have been showing tons of people that graphic and people cannot interpret it. This was clear before the election.
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Replying to @zeynep
You have to ask yourself, are your expectations reasonable? He puts in the title? Not clear enough. In the fine print? Nobody reads that!
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Replying to @jrdnmdhl
There is a very well developed field of risk communication; there were tons of ways to do it better. I suggested some even before election.
5:34 AM - 24 Apr 2017
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