I don't think blaming readers is the way. Nobody—nobody—properly communicated probability models to people trained in seeing polling data. https://twitter.com/samwangphd/status/856329979440779264 …
Absolutely not clear. I have been showing tons of people that graphic and people cannot interpret it. This was clear before the election.
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Also, that decimal point? False sense of precision when we knew the estimation was volatile--lots of known and unknown correlated error.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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You have to ask yourself, are your expectations reasonable? He puts in the title? Not clear enough. In the fine print? Nobody reads that!
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There is a very well developed field of risk communication; there were tons of ways to do it better. I suggested some even before election.
End of conversation
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