I don't think blaming readers is the way. Nobody—nobody—properly communicated probability models to people trained in seeing polling data. https://twitter.com/samwangphd/status/856329979440779264 …
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Yes, precisely. They read/see "he has a 30% chance of winning" and think "oh, so only 30% of people are voting for him".
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I mean, I caught myself making that mental substitution, too. Probabilities are hard to grasp.
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But I agree with you -- I do think it's crucial, and possible, to communicate more clearly about it.
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