If anything, using regression to say it wasn't econ issues rather than understanding the complex interaction underwrote the losing strategy.
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Replying to @zeynep
Read history. Read ethnographies. Yes—add quant & regressions. Economic despair/populism almost always *merges* with race/gender/foreigners.
3 replies 8 retweets 22 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Vox
I mean specifically this. The paper cited is fine; the misleading narrative is what helped lose Clinton the elex.https://twitter.com/voxdotcom/status/816713333751611392 …
zeynep tufekci added,
2 replies 3 retweets 13 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
It's.. interesting how little post-mortem there has been on what was wrong with the prevalent analyses among Dems. Don't learn=repeat.
4 replies 6 retweets 19 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
I don't mean why didn't Clinton go to x state. I mean: what was the theory of the electorate, and why it was wrong. Because it was wrong.
2 replies 6 retweets 15 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Mike Staresinic
But misses the Q. Why was it such a close election? Trump, too, had no shortage of scandals. Why did RU & FBI matter?https://twitter.com/MikeStaresinic/status/817019353665257472 …
zeynep tufekci added,
6 replies 0 retweets 9 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
I know there is a lot of arguments that this was a fluke, black swanish event, but things converged. MI-WI-PA matter because of FL-NC etc.
1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
All "close" events (yes could have gone the other way with a few hundred thousand votes) don't mean whole thing shows no trends/dynamics.
2 replies 0 retweets 9 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
what do you think is the story of what happened? What’s the correct theory of the electorate?
2 replies 1 retweet 1 like -
Replying to @Pinboard
zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
I've head threads since 2015 September or so. https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/702906207242219521 … and https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/702510812825522180 … and https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/796703445629698049 … etc
zeynep tufekci added,
2 replies 2 retweets 7 likes
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Ben Smith
zeynep tufekci added,
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zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
I thought GOP convention went great for Trump but DEM one badly for Clinton.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/757559035981955072 …
zeynep tufekci added,
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
Actually the Dem convention was the first time I really thought Clinton might lose.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/758466685435125761 …
zeynep tufekci added,
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like - Show replies
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