A lot of stories of the 2016 election but a big is how the mismatch between research question and method has misled so many people.
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Replying to @zeynep
Regressions of *attitudes* on surveys or (current) income haven't highlighted the insights folks needed before the election, aren't now.
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Replying to @zeynep
If anything, using regression to say it wasn't econ issues rather than understanding the complex interaction underwrote the losing strategy.
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Replying to @zeynep
Read history. Read ethnographies. Yes—add quant & regressions. Economic despair/populism almost always *merges* with race/gender/foreigners.
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Replying to @zeynep
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Vox
I mean specifically this. The paper cited is fine; the misleading narrative is what helped lose Clinton the elex.https://twitter.com/voxdotcom/status/816713333751611392 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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Replying to @zeynep
It's.. interesting how little post-mortem there has been on what was wrong with the prevalent analyses among Dems. Don't learn=repeat.
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Replying to @zeynep
I don't mean why didn't Clinton go to x state. I mean: what was the theory of the electorate, and why it was wrong. Because it was wrong.
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Replying to @zeynep
zeynep tufekci Retweeted Mike Staresinic
But misses the Q. Why was it such a close election? Trump, too, had no shortage of scandals. Why did RU & FBI matter?https://twitter.com/MikeStaresinic/status/817019353665257472 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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Replying to @zeynep
Seems to me this is a swiss cheese failure - many things went wrong all at once, you can credibly argue any one of them tipped it
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(_my_ inclination is to point at how many of those are the result of systematic undermining of institutions by GOP since Nixon...)
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You can add to that the question of what we can do to build and defend institutions. Take world as given, let's see what can be done.
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