Problem with the "archduke" comparison is that the likely effect of this is in the opposite direction of that one. And pretty obviously so.
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you mean less war? Why? I don't think this will make russia back off in Syria.
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Comes one day before a Turkey/Iran/Russia summit; will likely increase public support for one another.
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Though the "things could spiral badly" thing has been very true in the region for a few years now. :-(
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it will increase international or regional stability? Clampdown in Turkey seems assured, but beyond would seem unlikely
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