Key actor in this saga: People saw 70-90% Clinton win probability; didn't understand that 1-2% polling error would move that by 30-40%.
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Models were guesstimating places like Michigan where there was little to no public polling. Needed to communicate all this.
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I agree that communication has to be improved. I'd also love to hear ideas on how to approve assessment of public sentiment.
End of conversation
New conversation -
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Yes. I fully agree with this assessment. The problem is the data itself.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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