Key actor in this saga: People saw 70-90% Clinton win probability; didn't understand that 1-2% polling error would move that by 30-40%.
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There is a whole field on risk communication and information visualization that works on how to do this responsibly. https://twitter.com/briankgolden/status/807450442598912000 …
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If only the people who think understanding statistics solves biases of perceived risk understood the statistics on risk perception.
End of conversation
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also a failure of reporting, a failure of urgency -- a systemic failure. “Our institutions will save us”
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This is like how, post-9/11, our understanding of what airline hijackers could do has changed.
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