A month ago, people were getting so mad about articles like these: http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-just-a-normal-polling-error-behind-clinton/ … http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/ …http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-why-clintons-position-is-worse-than-obamas/ …
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The uncertainty needs to be incorporated into the thing everyone is looking at; not just in long articles or in footnotes.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Average folks get this in familiar contexts daily, but can't apply outside their expertise. Not sure how to fix.
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Exactly, people suck at understanding probability in one off situations, and the frequency of unlikely events
End of conversation
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