In 2012, I had hoped better polling & modeling would lessen horserace coverage. Instead, models turned clickbait *and* weren't informative.
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Maybe, elections without faux precise percentages headlining every story or being refreshed so often may actually be more substantive?
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the illusion of control…
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not more complicated than this, in such a close election. Ppl vote (or not) strategically using avail info
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i'm surprised i haven't read an answer to that! is it because we don't have a gold standard to check the weights against?
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We do with voter files.
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@DrewLinzer They were "wrong" only if you believed that undecided voters' votes were randomly distributed bn candidates 1/ -
numbers of undecided voters sufficient to cover gap in almost all swing states 2/
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