According to both FB & Twitter: massive engagement with Trump, on FB, massively more "likes". So Trump folk are on FB, for sure.
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Replying to @zeynep @AdrianChen
what about ethnic distribution of those 15% poorer? probably more african americans?
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Replying to @lucas_marcomini @AdrianChen
Yep. No reason to be sure they are disproportionately Trump voters or voters; only 50% of the country votes.
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But even if they were, 80% of people are on Facebook, and only 50% votes. You need larger % for this argument.
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Replying to @zeynep @lucas_marcomini
specific stats aside, I agree w their point that this is becoming a panic blown up by lots of lazy analysis.
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thinking about large numbers of trump supporters who probably never use Facebook is useul
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Replying to @AdrianChen @lucas_marcomini
Maybe, but no idea how large they are from this. Being political or pro-Trump maybe a confound to FB use.
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Replying to @zeynep @AdrianChen
For ex, women who first did HRT had great health benefits. Alas, being healthy was a confound prior to use, so no HRT effect.
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Replying to @zeynep @AdrianChen
So can't just put two stats together in parallel. Plausible Trump voters actually more likely to be on FB. Or not. No data yet.
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Replying to @zeynep @AdrianChen
Agree too much lazy stuff. Much fewer people read my pre-election stuff on multi-causality of this. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/13/opinion/campaign-stops/did-you-hear-the-latest-about-hillary.html …
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Finally: I believe this is peer-socialization effect which is potent, and does not need every last person in group to be on FB.
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Replying to @zeynep @AdrianChen
There IS data on this voting demographic and economic gains Basically they didn't benefit from the economic recovery 1/2
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2/2 its possible that this indirectly relates to internet use, but as you say implying causality is a huge logical leap
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End of conversation
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