However things go, some credit owed to @NateSilver538 and @FiveThirtyEight for calling a closer race than most @zeynep
My question wasn't that: it's what the percentages of modeling a one-time rare event meant. Still same question.
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separate point. this wasn't a reply
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Ok. I agreed state errors would be correlated, and looks like they were. So what 538 should have conveyed was uncertainty.
End of conversation
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