I'd rather discuss the philosophical underpinnings of running 20K simulations of a rare event & taking output distribution as probabilities.
Neither. Hard to adjudicate current debate: is 538 topline too favorable to Trump. How could we tell? Unless T won.
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I would argue that we'll see on Tuesday how many states they get correct. My guess they're too pessimistic/pro trump
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early voting are not taken into account and they seem very favorable to Hillary in several places
End of conversation
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