Here's some good discussion. I don't think many people understand what the top of the 538 page actually represents.https://twitter.com/BenLillie/status/795455631423602688 …
Right; that aspect is missing in the current debate raging on whether 538 topline is "wrong".
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All of the election forecasters that post probabilities are bayesians. This isn't the source of disagreement.
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Check the original post to see context. Mine was a reply.
End of conversation
New conversation -
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