Um, poll Twitter. State errors may be correlated. More interesting Q: can we model a rare event based only on 11 previous cases—as 538 does?
Can't repeat presidential election. Trick is predicting when a regime will fall. Clear prior: it won't.
You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more
Can't repeat presidential election. Trick is predicting when a regime will fall. Clear prior: it won't.