Weird how better modeling which produces clarity on how little uncertainty there is in the race produced MORE horse-race coverage, not less.
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538 is definitely bad for my anxiety disorder. Constant updates encourage anxious checking, to the point of panic.
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I had to limit the amount of checking I do to once a day because otherwise I'd get fucked up with anxious thinking.
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Under a different economic model for media, horse-race reports are once a week: "Folks, still stable; sooo here are candidate positions..."
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What economic model leads to that? Reader subscriptions?
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1/ As modeler (non-pol) Agree w/ lots of this. But there is a positive case for model-building. It’s good at creating a clear and
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2/ and consistent framework for interpreting new polls. And should highlight transparently your assumptions. in some ways 538 does.
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do you follow Princeton electoral consortium?
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totally agree! Wrote this about the damaging effects on democracy https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/video/2016/jun/01/political-polls-bad-for-democracy-heres-why-video …
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