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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Oct 2016

      Weird how better modeling which produces clarity on how little uncertainty there is in the race produced MORE horse-race coverage, not less.

      5 replies 19 retweets 72 likes
    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Oct 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      There is literally two events worth checking the polls once, about one week after event, in last two months: Clinton's pneumonia & debate.

      1 reply 1 retweet 14 likes
    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Oct 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      The way modeling has increased—rather than decreased—horse-race coverage seems to be through faux precision. The race is remarkably stable.

      5 replies 16 retweets 30 likes
    4. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Oct 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      Presidential elections are rare events, so modeling has real limits. They are also first-past-the-post so unsettling it would take a lot.

      1 reply 2 retweets 17 likes
    5. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Oct 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      IF Trump isn't looking likely in PA, it would take a momentous shift in the race for him to have a shot. Is there one? Then check the polls.

      2 replies 1 retweet 10 likes
    6. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Oct 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      With a rare, first past-the-post event like POTUS election, percentage distributions of large number of simulations is .. faux precision.

      4 replies 4 retweets 17 likes
    7. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Oct 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted David Parry

      This is exactly the problem. I don't begrudge anyone's clicks, but we're drowning in irrelevant conversation.https://twitter.com/academicdave/status/784410029503811584 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      David Parry @academicdave
      But now all these poll trackers are designed to get you checking hourly for site traffic https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/784409611579363328 …
      2 replies 6 retweets 25 likes
    8. David Parry‏ @academicdave 7 Oct 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      538 started out as a down out noise, has become media business producing tons of noise

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 7 Oct 2016
      Replying to @academicdave

      It's a fascinating case study.

      8:20 AM - 7 Oct 2016
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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