There is literally two events worth checking the polls once, about one week after event, in last two months: Clinton's pneumonia & debate.
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The way modeling has increased—rather than decreased—horse-race coverage seems to be through faux precision. The race is remarkably stable.
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Is this also owing to the paucity of ideas from one of the two major parties?
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do we actually know that there's more?
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The Bayesian probability format produces huge swings in numbers constantly. Catnip to horse race fans and investors.
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More data more problems.
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Turns out horse-race coverage driven by need for clicks/ratings (raw material: stories for pundits; lots of polls for modelers).
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