None of those are empirical evidence. https://twitter.com/mitchellvii/status/763906759484375040 …
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Replying to @derekwillis
they are all forms of empirical evidence, they are just fundamentally flawed in terms of the outcome they purport to predict.
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Replying to @kreissdaniel @derekwillis
Is there any empirical work on this question? Seems like it might be useful in eg local elections
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Replying to @SolomonMg @derekwillis
there is a ton of work on social media and electoral outcomes see
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I'm mainly talking about crowd size here
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oh, of course, I don't know of anything.
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Replying to @kreissdaniel @SolomonMg and
I bet crowd size can be correlated to potential sustainability of long-term movement.
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Replying to @zeynep @kreissdaniel and
See this: https://www.hks.harvard.edu/fs/dshoag/Documents/Political%20Protests%20--%20Evidence%20from%20the%20Tea%20Party.pdf … (Though Trump is willfully disorganizing so who knows).
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Physical gatherings like rallies or protests have biographical and network formation effects, etc.
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