Trump is winning FL with his Hispanic numbers; Ohio while fighting with Kasich; and North Carolina even now?
https://twitter.com/WilliamsJon/status/759485879010332676 …
You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more
The polls-plus model (which 538 views as the most canonical) is 60/40. The polls-only model is swamped by the GOP convention bounce.
the GOP convention bounce was average at best according to @NateSilver538. Trump was also gaining before convention
What is your prediction for the popular vote outcome?
Hmmm. Don't have one yet? Might run a model closer to the election? Within 2-3% of Obama/Romney but that's not saying much.
I'm a fan of @SamWangPhD and the Princeton Election Consortium: http://election.princeton.edu/
Much less horse-racy.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.