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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 30 Jul 2016

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Jon Williams

      Trump is winning FL with his Hispanic numbers; Ohio while fighting with Kasich; and North Carolina even now? 🤔https://twitter.com/WilliamsJon/status/759485879010332676 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Jon WilliamsVerified account @WilliamsJon
      Wow! @FiveThirtyEight's latest projection: if election was today - even after #DemsInPhilly - #DonaldTrump to win. pic.twitter.com/6qCobYr43t
      13 replies 5 retweets 12 likes
    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 30 Jul 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      By no means do I think people should take the chances of him winning lightly but still... The odds are not even.

      5 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 30 Jul 2016

      Also, one thing I had hoped with 538 was less pretense of a "close race" when it's not (remember Obama/McCain?) making room for substance 🤔

      5:36 PM - 30 Jul 2016
      • 2 Retweets
      • 13 Likes
      • nathanjurgenson Boris Douglas Wilson jan Kyle D. MakeAmericaScienceAgain Auld Dragon Rory Kramer BobMiller
      3 replies 2 retweets 13 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Alon (they/them)‏ @alon_levy 30 Jul 2016
          Replying to @zeynep

          The polls-plus model (which 538 views as the most canonical) is 60/40. The polls-only model is swamped by the GOP convention bounce.

          1 reply 2 retweets 5 likes
        3. Matt Richardson‏ @musomatt 30 Jul 2016
          Replying to @alon_levy @zeynep

          the GOP convention bounce was average at best according to @NateSilver538. Trump was also gaining before convention

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Harry Heymann  🥑‏ @harryh 30 Jul 2016
          Replying to @zeynep

          What is your prediction for the popular vote outcome?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 30 Jul 2016
          Replying to @harryh

          Hmmm. Don't have one yet? Might run a model closer to the election? Within 2-3% of Obama/Romney but that's not saying much.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Auld Dragon‏ @AuldDragon 30 Jul 2016
          Replying to @zeynep

          I'm a fan of @SamWangPhD and the Princeton Election Consortium: http://election.princeton.edu/  Much less horse-racy.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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