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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 26 Jul 2016

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Benjamin Wittes

      This. Faux precision in not scientific, it's scientism, just like that Trump "2%" odds he had. He meant "unlikely".https://twitter.com/benjaminwittes/status/757982368779075588 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Benjamin WittesVerified account @benjaminwittes
      I have a new pet peeve: the faux precision with which @FiveThirtyEight predicts elections that are many months away.
      11 replies 23 retweets 61 likes
    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 26 Jul 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      Modeling is fine, but it's not like random sampling (which we can't even do well anymore) where you have precise error. And this early? Meh.

      2 replies 2 retweets 10 likes
    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 26 Jul 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      Wouldn't mind it with some explanation, presented as a range, no digit after the period FFS, with some info on how model performed in past.

      6 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    4. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 26 Jul 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      People forget: presidential races are rare events. We don't have that much past data. It's not like state elections. Can't be that precise.

      3 replies 5 retweets 10 likes
    5. Andréa López‏ @bluechoochoo 26 Jul 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      Nate has spilled tons of ink, devoted multiple book chapters agreeing with you. He hates when people run w/his "predictions."

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 26 Jul 2016
      Replying to @bluechoochoo

      .@bluechoochoo I am sure! I just wish they'd present it well; not make faux precise "Trump 2% odds of nominee" predictions in August.

      1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
    7. Andréa López‏ @bluechoochoo 26 Jul 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      When they rolled out model, they wrote two separate great articles about how/what they mean. Who works more to help our innumeracy?

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    8. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 26 Jul 2016
      Replying to @bluechoochoo

      I'm afraid that the faux precision in the presentation creates another form of innumeracy, a scientism.

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    9. Andréa López‏ @bluechoochoo 26 Jul 2016
      Replying to @zeynep

      I feel like our innumeracy comes from other places + we bring that to the table when we read their site. It's completely good faith

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 26 Jul 2016
      Replying to @bluechoochoo

      They're in the media business; not in writing textbooks. Info needs to be in the method of the presentation, not footnotes.

      10:28 AM - 26 Jul 2016
      • 1 Like
      • Oedipa Maas
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. Andréa López‏ @bluechoochoo 26 Jul 2016
          Replying to @zeynep

          Completely agree. Just trying to think of who's better. I followed their dataviz talent even b4 they worked there. Just a big fan

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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