This. Faux precision in not scientific, it's scientism, just like that Trump "2%" odds he had. He meant "unlikely".https://twitter.com/benjaminwittes/status/757982368779075588 …
-
-
Fair enough. BTW, enjoyed your contributions on the recent
@freakonomics podcast. -
thank you!
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
Right, lots of other sites show confidence intervals, etc. Pollster, most obviously, also PEC. @zepfeldnyc
@FiveThirtyEightThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Not sure what you mean by ranges. A percentage likelihood of winning is inherently probabilistic.1/2
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
-
-
Real issue, it seems to me is that many people see a 60 or 70% number and convert that to a certainty.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.