Or we barely survived the industrial revolution—massive upheaval & global wars—and vague optimism isn't called for?https://twitter.com/levie/status/749754784840716290 …
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And, with global warming the consequence of the industrial revolution, the verdict isn't quite in yet.
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That too.
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We then retreated to skills machines did not yet have: mental labor, then care/service work. No evidence for endless supply of human skills.
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This AI optimism assumes: 1-We'll manage this transition well, you know, like climate change, global inequality, refugee crises. You know.
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Yep. Wasn't smooth when the shift was generational. No reason to believe it's easier when it happens an order of magnitude quicker.
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Yes, as per Keynes, "In the long run, we are all dead." The devil is in managing the short/medium run ...
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