"All but" is quite a qualification. (So, for that matter, is "can't rule out.") Also see http://bigstory.ap.org/58885b65cf714811964305b99ca78d93 …https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/743520867171377152 …
I believe the number is credible because of other polls on Obama; plus Trump statements; plus his rallies etc.
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Look up “confirmation bias.”
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