Or, maybe not enough like a pundit, since "models" are least useful when dynamics of low frequency events change.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/ …
That would need to be house effects. Still not many data analytic shops that combine area experts+data.
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But I find mechanism analysis much more compelling than prediction. I get the desire for prediction+
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..but a near miss than causes people to start ignoring the mechanisms that made it an almost win etc.
End of conversation
New conversation -
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