Or, maybe not enough like a pundit, since "models" are least useful when dynamics of low frequency events change.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/ …
Well, the result was 1-7. For soccer, that's a bit like an top NFL team playing a mediocre college team.
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But my point is that for low frequency events, judging data and also whether past models hold is .. expertise.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Would be a good ex. for you if they predicted games won. Recall close to even odds can just mean lots of uncertainty.
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Yeah, but my point is Brazil had, on paper, solid defense but did not. Data was misleading, and experts all knew.
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