Or, maybe not enough like a pundit, since "models" are least useful when dynamics of low frequency events change.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/ …
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Here's what I wrote after
@NateSilver538 missed#BravsGre. *Exact* issue in 2016 nomination. https://medium.com/message/learning-from-natesilver538s-omg-wrong-bra-vs-ger-prediction-9d47fa0611e …pic.twitter.com/r5BtjPQL5K
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More from me two years ago on 538. Same in 2016. Field changed while data looked backwards. https://medium.com/message/learning-from-natesilver538s-omg-wrong-bra-vs-ger-prediction-9d47fa0611e …pic.twitter.com/XEGWg6zsBp
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