Or, maybe not enough like a pundit, since "models" are least useful when dynamics of low frequency events change.http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/ …
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this is a good point, except how do we discern when the pundit is better informed? The pundit thinks s/he is but how sure can we be?
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I'd say the worst are the ones that have to write every week. Pressure on them to create tension/mystery when there's none.
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