Data vs traditional journalism again? I'm no fan of the horse race coverage but there *are* ways to be empirically deeper besides polls.
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Poll questions are often based on what the small closed circle deciding the "narrative" thinks should be asked. Feedback cycles bring error.
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Be multi-method. Triangulate. Go deep. Learn history. Don't just talk to your friends. Look for data. Cast a skeptical eye. Synthesize.
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