.@craigperko Large swaths of population chronically unrepresented historically opens doors to ugly politics exploiting the underpresetation.
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Replying to @zeynep
Also "Make X Great Again" is historically common in race-based/tinged populist politics in big/major nations.pic.twitter.com/faZINQYTXO
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Replying to @zeynep
zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci
Trump's the presumptive nominee. For academic research to help contextualize this, see thread here.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/702521619047174144 …
zeynep tufekci added,
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Replying to @zeynep
Trump's not an anomaly globally. Strongman elections are often reactions to elite failure. See storify here. https://storify.com/DougK/trump
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Replying to @zeynep
My contribution to this debate: I think Trump's rise is related to media's weaknesses more than its strengths.http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/31/opinion/campaign-stops/adventures-in-the-trump-twittersphere.html …
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Replying to @zeynep
Looking for Trump 2016 analysis? Read the August 2015 piece that laid it all out. Correctly. http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2015/08/maybe-this-time-really-is-different/401900/ …pic.twitter.com/HHOVmsd9ya
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Replying to @zeynep
My sense from here: Like movements I study. lack of infrastructure & org chops will thwart Trump now that he faces an organized adversary.
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Replying to @zeynep
The Republican field was a study in game theory: Trump adversaries getting caught in swamps (local minima), admittedly of their own making.
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Replying to @zeynep
Long-term structural dynamics on the Rep side AND celebrity candidate with keen sense of media AND social media=Trump could scale up fast. +
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Replying to @zeynep
But scaling up fast doesn't carry to taking turns at speed while facing an organized adversary in bigger battleground, aka general election.
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Democrats are unlikely to get stuck, unorganized, flailing, wondering who they loathe more the way Republicans did while Trump rode a wave.
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Replying to @zeynep
That said, US is a low-participation, high-apathy election country. The electorate is realigning. Nothing to take for granted. It's a fight.
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