@charlie_simpson @engagedscholar @WilHMoo @alexhanna I find these thresholds dubious as a rule. Too many counter examples to be useful.
@alexhanna @charlie_simpson @engagedscholar @WilHMoo Bahrain and Turkey off the top of my head. High(er) mobilization, no gov't change.
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@alexhanna@charlie_simpson@engagedscholar@WilHMoo There are arguments going around that 3.5% or 5% or 10% mobilizations are irresistible. -
@zeynep@charlie_simpson@engagedscholar@WilHMoo well, it's not a hard and fast rule that if you get above x%, the regime will change.
End of conversation
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