In other words, predictions market predict nothing. (They reflect that day's take on conventional consensus).https://twitter.com/rich1/status/694547503371390976 …
@derekbruff My question remains: what does this market add that everyone else doesn't know and understand at this point?
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@zeynep I would say it's the aggegration of multiple perspectives.@BryanAlexander, any thoughts on the value of prediction markets? - End of conversation
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@zeynep I'll add that my news sphere (Twitter, the podcasts I listen to) wasn't putting Rubio in the top two until last night.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@zeynep But IEM had Rubio in the top two last week. -
@derekbruff Rubio as top contender to the R nomination has been conventional wisdom for months. Increase chances IOWA not a prediction. - Show replies
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