In other words, predictions market predict nothing. (They reflect that day's take on conventional consensus).https://twitter.com/rich1/status/694547503371390976 …
@derekbruff I think you could crowd-source/market some things. These prediction markets aren't it. They're just responding to CW/events.
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@zeynep In this case, I see it as responding to new information--Trump's first ever actual election. No one knew how that would go.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@zeynep Now that the market has that bit of information, it's updated its prediction. -
@derekbruff How is it different than moving with the rest of the world in response to a test? For prediction, I expect more than reaction. - Show replies
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