@zeynep @davekarpf External: way harder to validate that interventions worked at individ level. Internal polling is way to do that.
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Replying to @danielmintz
@danielmintz@zeynep exACTly. External analytics relies on the data someone else provides. And they have their own institutional interests.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @davekarpf
@davekarpf@zeynep That said, I think combo is critical. But w/o internal data collection, you can't validate.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @danielmintz
@danielmintz@davekarpf Validation is huge issue but I think things are in the "improving" side. Also, even mistakes have consequences.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
@zeynep@davekarpf Story of last 12 years of GOP technology programs would indicate that not ALL mistakes have consequences ;-)1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @danielmintz
@danielmintz@davekarpf I get the institutional failure story. I do. But things of this level of consequence can change quickly.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
@danielmintz@davekarpf Also there are ecology level effects, possibly. Swing-statization at the household level, potentially.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @davekarpf
@davekarpf Targeted demobilization; targeted fear-mongering or mistrust; targeted (and hard to detect) misinformation taken to new level...2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
@davekarpf I'd say it can get worse; especially based on what I'm seeing on the computational causal inference side from other fields.
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Replying to @zeynep
@davekarpf No disagreement that things aren't great now; but analytics can given an edge at the margins in ways other tools may not.1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
@davekarpf But hey, by then there might be be global warming triggering mass migration around the world already mired in conflict! Cheer up!1 reply 0 retweets 1 like - Show replies
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