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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. Scott Gottlieb, MD‏Verified account @ScottGottliebMD Jan 9

      Scott Gottlieb, MD Retweeted Face The Nation

      1/2: We’re probably diagnosing only 1/5 to 1/10 infections. 30-40% of Americans may end up with Omicron. This is a pandemic wave driven by people with mild symptoms who aren’t likely to seek testing, not by people who get diagnosed, isolate, and may still be contagious on day 6.https://twitter.com/facethenation/status/1480215583731953665 …

      Scott Gottlieb, MD added,

      1:51
      Face The NationVerified account @FaceTheNation
      Diagnosis of a limited number of positive #COVID cases that are asymptomatic or have mild illness is what is driving the current #COVID epidemic in the U.S., @ScottGottliebMD tells @margbrennan. pic.twitter.com/npD94s9YFM
      93 replies 268 retweets 960 likes
      Show this thread
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep Jan 9
      Replying to @ScottGottliebMD

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Trevor Bedford

      I think this is on track, and may even end up on the low side judging by New York. (On the one hand, not every place is New York. On the other hand, that may just flatten, not prevent curve).https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1472315428466675720 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Trevor BedfordVerified account @trvrb
      Replying to @ryanmhickman @GlobalGreenDeal @dwallacewells
      Yes, but not hugely. With Omicron we could easily have 50% attack rate in 2022 rather than the 20-30% I assumed in Oct. But this 50% is a guess and we'll see what happens. (Keep in mind these attack rates are infections and not cases, most infections are not recorded as cases).
      9:38 AM - 9 Jan 2022
      • 13 Retweets
      • 60 Likes
      • Jenny Hollowell jla728 charlie 趙必能😬😳Click links🗽Call your dad, while you can. pierredrilecto Can Sar 🇬🇧Amazing Prizzini Gail Nevin Ella Starr🌃right path in the most unlikely place
      4 replies 13 retweets 60 likes
        1. Jeff Mustonen, Kraken Stan‏ @UWMoose Jan 9
          Replying to @zeynep @ScottGottliebMD

          Are we going to see rural areas get slammed soon? The urban areas seem to be the first areas hit.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. Scott Gottlieb, MD‏Verified account @ScottGottliebMD Jan 9
          Replying to @zeynep

          Trevor may be looking at Fall as well, when Omicron probably returns at some level. I was referring to current wave of infection, where models look like they’ll peak at levels that will leave about 1/3 infected, but agree the attack rate in NY, DC, FL suggests it could be more.

          4 replies 2 retweets 33 likes
        3. JB Holston‏ @jholston Jan 9
          Replying to @ScottGottliebMD @zeynep

          So assume it is heading there and spreading this way … are masking and isolation and testing … other than in schools, healthcare, or businesses which choose to continue those … worthwhile?

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. revjimbo‏ @jbonewald Jan 9
          Replying to @zeynep @ScottGottliebMD

          I wasn't feeling well this week but didn't want to waste a rapid test which are hard to come by. Luckily I didn't have anywhere to go so I just hunkered down at home.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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