There are excellent logistical reasons not to cruise now: if you get COVID you’ll be stuck in your stateroom, or offloaded in a port. But is there any reason to think you’re more likely to get COVID on a cruise than elsewhere right now? At least the cruise ships do surveillance.https://twitter.com/DeItaone/status/1476602913728385033 …
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Replying to @zeynep
The COVID rate among my personal contacts in New York right now is way higher than any of the numbers I’ve seen reported on these ships (like 50 on a Royal Caribbean ship)
10 replies 0 retweets 23 likes -
Replying to @jbarro
The spread on the Diamond Princess in February of 2020 looked like New York now, and that strain was maybe R0~=2-3 times compared to what we have now, likely above 10? Those cruises may have been out there without having gotten an Omicron person on board. I'd wait a bit.
1 reply 0 retweets 13 likes -
Replying to @zeynep
the flip side though is almost everyone on a cruise ship is vaccinated and they're tested before boarding, so you're dealing with a set of people who have some protection against infection and were less likely to be infected on day 0
4 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
Not with Omicron breakthroughs, though. Plus, cruise ships are more elderly people (though healthy enough to go on cruises!). It's the population where you expect a slightly more portion of breakthroughs to progress to severe disease, and you are nowhere near a hospital.
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