Huh. Delta’s threat was clear by end of May, from UK data and India. Omicron is developing fast, but thanks to South Africa we got a very early warning—and antibody evading variant of some sort was discussed a lot before then because that’s what the other human coronaviruses do.https://twitter.com/JonLemire/status/1472009383886393348 …
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I know President Biden will address the nation on Tuesdy. I would like daily press briefings from the CDC, and weekly updates from the President. It’s okay to say “here’s what we don’t yet know.” People need frequent updates, explanations, and a sense of the plan, no?
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What’s hard is it is very clear that 'keep the hospitals from getting overwhelmed’ isn’t, on its own, enough to shut anything down.
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My dad is 65, a doctor at a hospital and senior living center (and did COVID hospice care during wave 1), and undergoing treatment for cancer in his lungs. All three categories feel invisible/disposable right now. "Mild" people don't worry if there are no hospice workers, I guess
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I'm not sure if we will have good predictive data on Omicron to compare to the US until it hits E. Europe. Since on both an age & vaccination rate adjusted basis that is where many of our rural & conservative counties are. And, that is where most of our mortality is coming from.pic.twitter.com/yg94G65Ngx
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Agree, though maybe they will get data from us. The current bellwethers aren’t comparable enough, but Eastern Europe is.
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Yup... "health-care crisis looks dangerous even if small percent is severe: that can be a big number in a huge wave." 1000 infected w/ strong variant (2% death rate)= 20 dead 5000 infected w/ more virulent but milder variant (1% death rate)= 50 dead
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