Huh. Delta’s threat was clear by end of May, from UK data and India. Omicron is developing fast, but thanks to South Africa we got a very early warning—and antibody evading variant of some sort was discussed a lot before then because that’s what the other human coronaviruses do.https://twitter.com/JonLemire/status/1472009383886393348 …
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I mean, yes, there were a few virologists writing op-eds in the New York Times as late as end of July denying that evidence was clear that Delta was more transmissible. (They blamed human behavior instead). But I don’t think that was representative of the general tone.
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Replying to @zeynep
I did not read the LA Times article, but I think they really believed they'd have enough of the population vaccinated by summer to push the threat of variants waaaay down. Who knew this crazy anti-vax movement would take over and ruin everything?
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Replying to @berryfairyland @zeynep
Michael Lin, MD PhD 🧬 Retweeted Trevor Bedford
Simple arithmetic revealed vax rates were insufficient given the higher R0 of Delta. Those who cited a vaccination shield never showed their work. It was just wishful thinking. For an example of someone showing their work:https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1410376325303468040 …
Michael Lin, MD PhD 🧬 added,
3 replies 1 retweet 5 likes
Yeah. Data poured in on that throughout June.
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