Huh. Delta’s threat was clear by end of May, from UK data and India. Omicron is developing fast, but thanks to South Africa we got a very early warning—and antibody evading variant of some sort was discussed a lot before then because that’s what the other human coronaviruses do.https://twitter.com/JonLemire/status/1472009383886393348 …
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Also, I wish we’d call this an antibody evading variant. It’s not really fully evading our vaccines. More breakthroughs and re-infections, sure. But that’s absolutely not like being back in March of 2020. We have vaccines. We understand Covid is airborne. We have drugs that work.
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I know it’s uncomfortable but there’s still uncertainty to what will happen in the United States or in Europe—or in other places. I think South Africa data has taken some of the worst-case scenarios off the table, but a whole lot of unknowns remain and many options are possible.
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So much discourse around “is it mild”—not even coherent, conflating intrinsic virulence with immunity. But health-care crisis looks dangerous even if small percent is severe: that can be a big number in a huge wave. HCW already exhausted, plus many will test positive.
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I know President Biden will address the nation on Tuesdy. I would like daily press briefings from the CDC, and weekly updates from the President. It’s okay to say “here’s what we don’t yet know.” People need frequent updates, explanations, and a sense of the plan, no?
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End of conversation
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And Bedford predicted the Delta surgehttps://twitter.com/michaelzlin/status/1410435312778502148 …
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Maybe they’re not following the right tweeps.
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