I mean, yes, there were a few virologists writing op-eds in the New York Times as late as end of July denying that evidence was clear that Delta was more transmissible. (They blamed human behavior instead). But I don’t think that was representative of the general tone.
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Jesse Bloom had this thread based on mutation scanning on November 25th, even before what we thought would be named Nu was named Omicron. (I think like a day or so after the South African scientists warned us and shared the genome?). Nailed it, too. Great science, delivered fast.https://twitter.com/jbloom_lab/status/1464005692251992085 …
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Also, I wish we’d call this an antibody evading variant. It’s not really fully evading our vaccines. More breakthroughs and re-infections, sure. But that’s absolutely not like being back in March of 2020. We have vaccines. We understand Covid is airborne. We have drugs that work.
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I know it’s uncomfortable but there’s still uncertainty to what will happen in the United States or in Europe—or in other places. I think South Africa data has taken some of the worst-case scenarios off the table, but a whole lot of unknowns remain and many options are possible.
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So much discourse around “is it mild”—not even coherent, conflating intrinsic virulence with immunity. But health-care crisis looks dangerous even if small percent is severe: that can be a big number in a huge wave. HCW already exhausted, plus many will test positive.
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I know President Biden will address the nation on Tuesdy. I would like daily press briefings from the CDC, and weekly updates from the President. It’s okay to say “here’s what we don’t yet know.” People need frequent updates, explanations, and a sense of the plan, no?
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But it need not be so specific. Govt should be one step ahead and have planned for waves- regardless of variant!I think the focus on each variant is misguided instead admin should just be clear about here are all the issues/risks that can arise/derail where we are& response ready
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And Biden isn’t giving an address until Tuesday. They knew damn well this could happen, but they aren’t acting with any kind of urgency. It’s two years later and we still don’t have enough tests ffs. Biden staked his whole campaign on COVID and we don’t have enough tests?!
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They should have been readying for an omicron-like variant since delta. She cannot credibly say the federal government was caught off guard here.
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Umm, I thought everybody saw this coming.https://twitter.com/lumiere2016/status/1356121184102846464?s=20 …
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