Plot twist for the Science article that generated many headlines about the initial known case being connected to the Wuhan market. As author graciously acknowledges here, the internet researchers—so-called sleuths—have shown the claim to be wrong. Will there be new headlines?https://twitter.com/MichaelWorobey/status/1470159029997428736 …
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Given that CHN arrested, imprisoned, and humiliated the whistle-blower on the outbreak, we expect better from them on finding Case Zero?
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I'm be interested in a statistician's best calculations of the likelihood, all other things being equal, of the origins being the market vs the virology research lab working on very similar viruses a few hundred metres away...
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Yes, there were also the Military World Games, where some athletes thought they had contracted covid - but it seems that they tested negative for antibodies afterwards. "Singles day" in Wuhan 11/11 were perhaps the first superspreader event.https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/covid-19-coronavirus-satellite-images-may-prove-china-was-in-grip-of-outbreak-months-before-announced/RZRH3U3VJM5SJ3VTY77KUZQJCY/ …
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"Documents seen by the newspaper suggest the first confirmed case can be traced back to November 17, less than a week after ´Singles Day´... ´A 55-year-old from Hubei province .. could have been the first person to have contracted Covid,´ the newspaper reported in March."
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