Thoughts on this @zeynep? If total population seroconversion will end the pandemic because the danger is the novelty, then shouldn’t a seroprevalence of >98% for everyone over 16 and lots of “hybrid immunity” from rampant delta transmission have ended the pandemic in the UK?https://twitter.com/Gab_H_R/status/1468645767262916608 …
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Replying to @lisa_iannattone
Math exercise: what percent of the UK population do you think has been infected with Delta, plus got vaccinated, and thus has "hybrid immunity"?
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Replying to @zeynep
They’ve nearly all seroconverted. Nearly everyone’s immune system has met either the virus or the vaccine. So hospitals should be fine now if it was that simple.
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Replying to @lisa_iannattone @zeynep
Are you suggesting that the goalpost is now that everyone has to be vaccinated *and* subsequently infected to end the pandemic? Delta immunity doesn’t translate well to omicron immunity as evidenced by Pfizer’s data.
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Replying to @lisa_iannattone
You keep shifting what you are asking. Still waiting for the math on your "hybrid immunity" among the population calculation?
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Replying to @zeynep
No, my question is simple and has nothing to do with hybrid immunity. You’ve maintained that once everyone meets the virus either through infection or vaccination, that the pandemic will be behind us since the danger is the novelty. So why does the UK need new restrictions?
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Instead of answering a caricature, I will resend the best essay on this, which covers all of this, including antigenic shift like we’re seeing now and the relationship to severity—once again fully matching the epi facts on the ground.https://www.theinsight.org/p/novelty-means-severity-the-key-to …
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People asked to work from home and face masks to be worn in more places, as part of Plan B restrictions for England announced by Prime Minister Boris Johnson
-BBC