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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 1 Dec 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci

      Thanks to South Africa, we learned about this threat very early. They will likely be the ones to tell us more. (Though I suspect they are too responsible to do so, who'd blame them if they held the information till we at least apologize for our response).https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1465334340255113218 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      zeynep tufekciVerified account @zeynep
      I get this. The key here is communicating that, unlike Alpha and Delta, we got an early enough warning with Omicron that… we DON’T know if it is a big threat, but we should act like it *might* be till we figure it out a bit more. It could fizzle out or it could be a big threat. https://twitter.com/natem42/status/1465075979462742016 …
      Show this thread
      7 replies 25 retweets 271 likes
      Show this thread
    2. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 1 Dec 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted JJota

      I hope that's a misphrasing. Yeah, "there's no evidence": exactly, there's no strong evidence either way. Most cases of *all* variants, even Delta, are mild. The question is, on average, where does this fall, and why? We. Don't. and. Can't. Yet. Know.https://twitter.com/jjcalles/status/1466109069987622913 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      JJota @jjcalles
      Replying to @zeynep
      That’s not what this WHO official said https://news.sky.com/story/covid-19-most-omicron-cases-are-mild-and-theres-no-evidence-to-suggest-vaccines-may-be-less-effective-against-the-variant-says-who-12483729 …
      3 replies 11 retweets 167 likes
      Show this thread
    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 1 Dec 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted zeynep tufekci

      I updated my NYT piece a tiny bit when it came out in print yesterday, but the same principle holds. We don't know. We *should* act defensively, till we know more, but in a targeted, smart way, not in a performative manner merely targeting passports.https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1464994776365871105 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      zeynep tufekciVerified account @zeynep
      South Africa has gifted us an early warning with Omicron. But earlier the warning, the less we know. Still, we must act now, while waiting for clarity. We need smart, comprehensive measures, not pandemic theater. Can we please, finally learn? New from me: https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/28/opinion/covid-omicron-travel-ban-testing.html … pic.twitter.com/O3EI8lDam6
      Show this thread
      2 replies 19 retweets 182 likes
      Show this thread
    4. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 1 Dec 2021

      Personally, I'd be surprised if vaccine efficacy against breakthroughs didn't take a hit and there weren't more reinfections because of Omicron. But will those breakthroughs/re-infections be symptomatic? Mild? Severe? Will it spread widely? Don't know. Have to wait. No shortcuts.

      8 replies 11 retweets 229 likes
      Show this thread
    5. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 1 Dec 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Who Killed Dove?  🏴

      That's the only part we have some strong evidence for, from analyzing the genome. But do note: vaccine efficacy measures symptomatic breakthroughs, so it doesn't tell us about their efficacy against severe disease: that, too, will need time.https://twitter.com/damagecase1982/status/1466123483520409608 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Who Killed Dove?  🏴 @damagecase1982
      Replying to @zeynep
      Why assume vaccine efficacy will take a hit without any evidence suggesting so at this point? Isn’t that the same as assuming the cases have all been mild?
      5 replies 7 retweets 104 likes
      Show this thread
    6. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 1 Dec 2021

      There's a timeline to the epistemology of this. There are some things we can make reasonable guesses about from the genome and soon-to-arrive lab work, but some key questions need to wait for clinical and epidemiological data. Both @trvrb & @jbloom_lab had great threads recently.

      3 replies 5 retweets 66 likes
      Show this thread
    7. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 1 Dec 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Trevor Bedford

      Here's one.https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1466076797670363140 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Trevor BedfordVerified account @trvrb
      Under a scenario of 90% population immunity against previous variants, we get the following picture where Omicron could lie anywhere along the dashed line ranging from an intrinsic R0 of 3 and 83% immune escape to an intrinsic R0 of 9 and 20% immune escape. 14/18 pic.twitter.com/nh2CzoL0L4
      Show this thread
      1 reply 5 retweets 61 likes
      Show this thread
    8. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 1 Dec 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted Bloom Lab

      Here's another.https://twitter.com/jbloom_lab/status/1464005690775654401 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      Bloom Lab @jbloom_lab
      Importantly, this does *not* mean Nu variant will fully escape vaccine- or infection-elicited antibodies. @PaulBieniasz @theodora_nyc have shown takes many many mutations to fully escape neutralization (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04005-0 …), & there are also T-cells, non-neut Abs, etc. (5/n)
      Show this thread
      2 replies 4 retweets 38 likes
      Show this thread
    9. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 6 Dec 2021

      zeynep tufekci Retweeted SAMRC

      Truly appreciate how quickly South African public health officials are sharing data. I’m seeing people conclude from this, though, that Omicron is mild. Maybe. Maybe not. Still too early. Only thing that seems assured is more breakthroughs and re-infections. Still need time.https://twitter.com/MRCza/status/1467138777881747456 …

      zeynep tufekci added,

      SAMRC @MRCza
      Tshwane District Omicron Variant Patient Profile - Early Features. https://www.samrc.ac.za/news/tshwane-district-omicron-variant-patient-profile-early-features … pic.twitter.com/hDeXi88gDb
      4 replies 14 retweets 129 likes
      Show this thread
    10. Brandon Wallis‏ @brandon_wallis 6 Dec 2021
      Replying to @zeynep

      The IMF/international community should send billions of dollars to SA to recoup the tourism and travel losses created by scientists doing great work. It’s like the nation is punished for discovering the variant and warning the work

      2 replies 18 retweets 97 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 6 Dec 2021
      Replying to @brandon_wallis

      Agree

      5:10 PM - 6 Dec 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • Brandon Wallis
      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes

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