We argue over travel bans, and sometimes implement them but in a way that makes little sense. Early containment measures *can* buy time, but they have to be *for real* containment, not just passport exclusion. (Virus doesn't care). And the real issue is using that time wisely.
-
-
Show this thread
-
This is *not* like where we were with Alpha or Delta when we first heard about them. Thanks to South Africa, we have such an early warning that it's impossible to be sure. Everything is still on the table. Fizzles out totally, catastrophe, in-between? Gotta wait for data.
Show this thread -
Plus, I'm all for early, aggressive action when facing exponential threats but there needs to be benchmarks and a timeline for reversing precautionary steps. Such restrictions *are* a burden, and haphazardly putting a few in place and forgetting about them is not okay.pic.twitter.com/X2FTJyaK2i
Show this thread -
The world owes South Africa—a lot. It's also possible that they were simply the first to detect Omicron—and it's widespread already. We absolutely need to provide resources to them—and to the region. It's the right thing to do, and our moral obligation.https://twitter.com/Clare_Hendry/status/1465000341481603086 …
Show this thread -
When facing an exponential threat under uncertainty, it's a *great* idea to put in friction quickly. Buying time is great! But we have to do it properly, then use that time, and be ready to reverse or change course quickly. Otherwise, we get all the burden but not the benefits.
Show this thread -
This is a myth. Especially for a virus that can transmit early in disease course, like this one, selection pressure is on transmission, not virulence. So a new variant can be MORE or LESS virulent (when everything else equal, i.e. host immunity).https://twitter.com/soccervolleymom/status/1465074442044850183 …
Show this thread -
OTOH, both immune evasion and intrinsic higher transmissibility contribute to higher Rt. For ex, if Omicron can evade antibodies and is reinfecting people, cases will go up but might be milder with cellular immunity (T&B) cells kicking in. Need time and data to sort it out.
Show this thread -
I get this. The key here is communicating that, unlike Alpha and Delta, we got an early enough warning with Omicron that… we DON’T know if it is a big threat, but we should act like it *might* be till we figure it out a bit more. It could fizzle out or it could be a big threat.https://twitter.com/natem42/status/1465075979462742016 …
Show this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
One issue is that even in Blue areas the political tolerance for containment measures is getting real limited.
-
esp as at this point there are still a few people with no vaccines that most people see as a lost cause, and other people with 3 shots in them, even healthy 21 year olds with 3 shots, even though the CDC can't even decide if boosters needed
End of conversation
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.