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zeynep's profile
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
zeynep tufekci
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@zeynep

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zeynep tufekciVerified account

@zeynep

Complex systems, wicked problems. Society, technology, science and more. @UNC professor. @NYTimes columnist. My newsletter is @insight: http://www.theinsight.org 

floating in a most peculiar way
theinsight.org
Joined August 2009

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    1. Carl T. Bergstrom‏Verified account @CT_Bergstrom 25 Nov 2021

      I'd be careful not to overinterpret the following graph from @jburnmurdoch. Yes, the fraction of B.1.1.529 is increasing faster. But I think that is that is largely due to different denominators.pic.twitter.com/NDhSqJpLlw

      15 replies 77 retweets 566 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Carl T. Bergstrom‏Verified account @CT_Bergstrom 25 Nov 2021

      In the same thread, John provided this graph as well. There were far more cases of previous strains around when Alpha and Delta took off, so they had further to go, so to speak, to reach high prevalence.pic.twitter.com/guKN1uKz7C

      5 replies 81 retweets 540 likes
      Show this thread
    3. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 25 Nov 2021
      Replying to @CT_Bergstrom @HuffmanLabDU

      The question at hand is why was Delta low before?

      3 replies 0 retweets 17 likes
    4. Michael Glotzer‏ @Mglo 25 Nov 2021
      Replying to @zeynep @CT_Bergstrom @HuffmanLabDU

      Cause it had already swept through?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 25 Nov 2021
      Replying to @Mglo @CT_Bergstrom @HuffmanLabDU

      Without a corresponding death rate?

      4 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Adam Welz‏ @AdamWelz 25 Nov 2021
      Replying to @zeynep @Mglo and

      Not sure what you mean by this. There were many deaths.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 25 Nov 2021
      Replying to @AdamWelz @Mglo and

      “Swept through” levels? Not sure that holds. I’m asking what was the remaining seronegative portion?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Michael Glotzer‏ @Mglo 25 Nov 2021
      Replying to @zeynep @AdamWelz and

      Perhaps very low, < 10%. Why else would cases have dropped so low?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 25 Nov 2021
      Replying to @Mglo @AdamWelz and

      Well that’s the question. Not sure we can assume the answer from known principles alone here. I mean, maybe but it doesn’t fit neatly so some assumption-independent data would be really useful.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Michael Glotzer‏ @Mglo 25 Nov 2021
      Replying to @zeynep @AdamWelz and

      As an example, in FL over 70% est ever infected and current Reff = 0.65. They haven’t started wearing N95s in FL.https://covidestim.org/us/FL 

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      zeynep tufekci‏Verified account @zeynep 25 Nov 2021
      Replying to @Mglo @AdamWelz and

      30% remaining seronegatives is huge with an R>6-8 virus.

      9:47 PM - 25 Nov 2021
      • 3 Likes
      • Nicest Snog🔎 Carl T. Bergstrom Howard Walthall
      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        1. Michael Glotzer‏ @Mglo 25 Nov 2021
          Replying to @zeynep @AdamWelz and

          FL also has 61% fully vaccinated.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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