Great thread with a "best guess" from @trvrb on where post-pandemic (endemic) burden of COVID may end up. Note: how the virus evolves is one factor, but so is the host (us!) immune response once it's no longer novel. Also: even smaller risk can, at scale, add substantial burden.https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1448297977005723653 …
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I'm not dismissing this: of course parents have such questions. However, post-viral myocarditis is also a thing (all viruses! not just this one!) and the correct comparison is the risk after vaccine vs COVID infection. That's what we should compare imo. https://twitter.com/BabeRuthsChris/status/1448640324046295044 …
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I don't see how a regular kid—or pretty much any adult in most places, avoids exposure to COVID within the next year or so at most—if not sooner. Yes, risks to kids is *really* low but always the same question: exposure while vaccinated or not vaccinated.https://twitter.com/ariehkovler/status/1448642107737100289 …
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These are good questions! I have my own preferences, but that's exactly the correct public discussion, imo. I think we should deeply engage parents with concerns, and address risks as vaccine vs infection with novel virus (something different!).https://twitter.com/colorblindk1d/status/1448644927785635840 …
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End of conversation
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Yes, agreed. I didn't mean to compare the severity of flu and covid, since one is already endemic. I'm just saying that the mental calculation of taking a vaccine should assume that the kid is going to encounter it sooner or later.
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We should also factor in longcovid in children, it gets lost when the discussion is only about covid deaths.
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This is why i'd imagine that we're going to precuationary boost maybe ~2 generations of people for the rest of their lives(unless they want to get antibody tests tos ee if they've been infected while 'boosted')https://twitter.com/LGFi0rnkELg0KDn/status/1447311602861158401?s=20 …
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