Or, you can actually read the paper! It's excellent news. They found a grand total of *315* reinfections out of 75,000+—almost certainly more occurred but didn't have any symptoms so not even tested, thus different denominator. The 315 were older & more likely immunocompromised.
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Sorry, did not attach the right screenshot. Here you go! Green is the re-infections, red is the initial infections. You can see how rare re-infections that reach any level of concern are (even testing). Just the raw numbers speak for themselves. https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1445421564011372547 …pic.twitter.com/2XeOX4Kla0
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Your messaging is inconsistent. On one hand you reassure ppl that we’ll catch covid, likely many times, and it’s fine bc the danger is the novelty. But with data showing covid reinfections are dangerous, the message shifts to it being okay bc people are unlikely to catch it again
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I'm aware of conditional probabilities. I don't see the paper address age except to say that reinfection is more common in adults than children. Also as immunity wanes this paper suggests that future reinfections will result in higher hospitalization rate per case than rn.
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